Corinthians vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 2-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians got the better of Gremio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Corinthians had 57% of the ball to Gremio's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.79 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 0.50 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Gremio?
Corinthians 2-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 55%, draw 24%, Gremio 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.