Ceara 2-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Nov 2025

Ceara
2-0 HT 1-0
Fluminense
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
16%
5.85
X/2
16%
5.15
X/X
12%
3.5
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.83
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -30%
1.23/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.28
-32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.9 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ceara vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fluminense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 461
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
01.11.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
10.07.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
31.10.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.07.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
16.02.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1

Ceara 2-0 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
2-0
AWAY Fluminense
1.12 xG 0.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 409
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara saw off Fluminense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Ceara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ceara had 44% of the ball to Fluminense's 56%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.12 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ceara and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Fluminense?

Ceara 2-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceara 33%, draw 27%, Fluminense 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fluminense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
2 Nov 2025
00:00 Mirassol FC vs Botafogo Analysis →
03:00 Flamengo vs Sport Recife Analysis →
22:00 Corinthians vs Gremio Analysis →
22:00 Bahia vs Bragantino Analysis →