Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
4-4
HT 3-2
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio and Corinthians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Gremio had 41% of the ball to Corinthians's 59%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.35 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gremio and 1.67 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Corinthians?
Gremio 1-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gremio 40%, draw 30%, Corinthians 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gremio), BTTS No went the other way.