Fortaleza vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
4-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Santos
BR1
Fortaleza 2-3 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Santos edged past Fortaleza 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Santos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 57% of the ball to Santos's 43%, shots finished 32-8, expected goals 2.90 to 0.81 — on chances, Fortaleza could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortaleza and 0.67 for Santos.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Santos?
Fortaleza 2-3 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 39%, draw 32%, Santos 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.