Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
4-2
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BRK
2-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BRK
Sao Paulo 1-3 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama beat Sao Paulo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 51% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 49%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.38 to 1.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?
Sao Paulo 1-3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 43%, draw 32%, Vasco da Gama 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.