Bragantino 0-3 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Jun 2025

Bragantino
0-3 HT 0-2
Bahia
📅13/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
4.5
6+ Goals
7%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
8%
4.95
X/2
11%
6.95
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.24/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.47
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.5 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bragantino vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bahia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.05.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
20.08.2023 Bahia Bahia 4-0 HT 2-0 Bragantino BR1
16.04.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.09.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
06.06.2021 Bragantino 3-3 HT 1-2 Bahia Bahia BR1

Bragantino 0-3 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-3
AWAY Bahia
0.37 xG 2.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
280 Passes 684
83% Pass Accuracy 94%
7 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia swept aside Bragantino 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Bragantino had 33% of the ball to Bahia's 67%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.37 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 1.83 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Bahia?

Bragantino 0-3 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 44%, draw 27%, Bahia 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bragantino), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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