Utrecht (K) 3-3 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 16 Nov 2025

Utrecht (K)
3-3 HT 1-3
AZ (K)
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.38
Draw
16%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
38%
+13.4pp
16%
Draw
26%
-9.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-31% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.8 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
380 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
14.12.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
03.03.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1

Utrecht (K) 3-3 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
3-3
AWAY AZ (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
392 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) and AZ (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 58% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 42%, shots finished 24-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AZ (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Utrecht (K) and 1.00 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Utrecht (K) 3-3 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 52%, draw 16%, AZ (K) 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
16 Nov 2025
14:15 ADO Den Haag (K) vs HERA United (K) Analysis →
18:45 NAC Breda (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Analysis →
18:45 Heerenveen (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Analysis →
18:45 Twente (K) vs Feyenoord (K) Analysis →