Walter Ferretti 3-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.63/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.87
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 3-0 HT 3-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
08.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
04.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
08.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
3-1
AWAY Jalapa
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti beat Jalapa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 49% of the ball to Jalapa's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.50 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?

Walter Ferretti 3-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 49%, draw 26%, Jalapa 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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