FK Ufa 1-2 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Nov 2025

FK Ufa
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Arsenal Tula
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.87
Draw
35%
2.89
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.58
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
2%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

FK Ufa v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Ufa The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula The Market 40%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 1

FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-2 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
18.05.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
29.09.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
26.03.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
14.05.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
06.11.2021 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
REVIEW FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arsenal Tula shaded a tight game against FK Ufa 2-1 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Tula found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Ufa and 1.17 for Arsenal Tula.

FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Result & Final Score

FK Ufa 1 - 2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 30%, draw 35%, Arsenal Tula 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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