Shinnik 4-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Nov 2025

Shinnik
4 - 1 HT 3 - 1
Chayka
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.79
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
19%
4.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Shinnik The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka The Market 23%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
Bad Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chayka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Chayka Chayka 1-2 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
17.11.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
15.09.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
27.02.2021 Chayka Chayka 5-1 HT 4-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.09.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
12.10.2019 Shinnik Shinnik 2-3 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
4 - 1
AWAY Chayka
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 6
REVIEW Shinnik vs Chayka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Shinnik made light work of Chayka 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shinnik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Shinnik had 49% of the ball to Chayka's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chayka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shinnik and 1.83 for Chayka.

Shinnik vs Chayka Result & Final Score

Shinnik 4 - 1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Shinnik vs Chayka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 52%, draw 29%, Chayka 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
16 Nov 2025
13:00 Sokol Saratov vs Fakel Analysis →
14:00 FK Ufa vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →
15:00 Chelyabinsk vs KAMAZ Analysis →