AS Ariana 0-2 Korba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Korba EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.20/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.96
+2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Korba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 AS Ariana 2-0 Korba Korba TUN2
31.05.2024 Korba Korba 2-1 HT 1-1 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
0-2
AWAY Korba
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Korba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korba beat AS Ariana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AS Ariana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Ariana had 68% of the ball to Korba's 32%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AS Ariana and 1.00 for Korba.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Korba?

AS Ariana 0-2 Korba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Korba?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 49%, draw 26%, Korba 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Ariana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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