Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 Dec 2024

Bournemouth
1-1 HT 0-0
West Ham United
📅16/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bournemouth vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
56%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 25% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.36
X/2
6%
9.41
X/X
10%
6.14
2/1
9%
20.6
2/2
10%
6.32
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Bournemouth win — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.51/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.80
+14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.4 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bournemouth vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
0W-2D-4L
AWAY West Ham United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
433 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNLK
01.02.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
12.08.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
23.04.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-4 HT 0-3 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
24.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
01.01.2020 West Ham United West Ham United 4-0 HT 3-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
1-1
AWAY West Ham United
2.01 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
29 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
331 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth and West Ham United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bournemouth at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 51% of the ball to West Ham United's 49%, shots finished 29-16, expected goals 2.01 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bournemouth and 2.17 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs West Ham United?

Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 56%, draw 21%, West Ham United 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5
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