Arsenal U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Dec 2024

Arsenal U21
1-2 HT 0-1
Sunderland U21
📅16/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.29
No
39%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
73%
-12.3pp
39%
BTTS No
27%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal U21 v Sunderland U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.62/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.66
-34% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.7 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Arsenal U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
1-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
386 Passes 224
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 edged past Arsenal U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (42% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sunderland U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 60% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 40%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Arsenal U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 42%, draw 22%, Sunderland U21 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
16 Dec 2024
15:00 Crystal Palace U21 vs Liverpool U21 Analysis →
22:00 Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leicester City U21 vs Everton U21 Analysis →
22:00 Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21 Analysis →
22:00 West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Reading U21 Analysis →