Newcastle United U21 3-2 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
1.09 xG 3.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
220 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 1-7 HT 1-2 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
3-2
AWAY Chelsea U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 nicked a narrow win over Chelsea U21 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 51% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 49%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Newcastle United U21 3-2 Chelsea U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 35%, draw 22%, Chelsea U21 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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