Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
33%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.5pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
226 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.35 xG 1.45
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
252 Passes 607
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
6 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2024 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
2-3
AWAY Manchester City U21
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
242 Passes 608
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 squeezed past Nottingham Forest U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 33% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 67%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 26%, draw 25%, Manchester City U21 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
16 Dec 2024
15:00 Crystal Palace U21 vs Liverpool U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leicester City U21 vs Everton U21 Analysis →
22:00 Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21 Analysis →
22:00 West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Reading U21 Analysis →
22:00 Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21 Analysis →