Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-3
HT 0-2
Rio Ave
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Rio Ave 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave and Vitoria Guimaraes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rio Ave had 37% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 63%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.18 to 2.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rio Ave and 0.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Rio Ave 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 29%, draw 32%, Vitoria Guimaraes 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.