Rayong FC 2-4 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-10.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.87/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.16
+52% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.6 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.95 xG 1.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Rayong FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-4
AWAY Ratchaburi
2.13 xG 2.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
14 Corners 4
294 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi got the better of Rayong FC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rayong FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Rayong FC had 54% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 46%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.13 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rayong FC and 3.00 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi?

Rayong FC 2-4 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 43%, draw 26%, Ratchaburi 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayong FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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