Rayong FC 1-4 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.73/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.29
+63% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.4 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
1-4
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.12 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
236 Passes 421
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi cruised past Rayong FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 40% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 60%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.12 to 2.18.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi?

Rayong FC 1-4 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 30%, draw 29%, Ratchaburi 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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