BG Pathum United 1-0 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 30%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.12/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.13
+12% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.1 Crosses 16.1
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Prachuap
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.22 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 2-2 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
18.02.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
18.09.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 2-2 HT 2-2 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
06.04.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 7-2 HT 5-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
28.11.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 0-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
1-0
AWAY Prachuap
0.30 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
327 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 25
6 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United squeezed past Prachuap 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 49% of the ball to Prachuap's 51%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.30 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Prachuap.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.40 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?

BG Pathum United 1-0 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 45%, draw 28%, Prachuap 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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