BG Pathum United vs Prachuap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Prachuap — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Prachuap Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Prachuap
TAY
2-2
HT 2-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
7-2
HT 5-1
Prachuap
TAY
0-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-0 Prachuap — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Prachuap 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 49% of the ball to Prachuap's 51%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.30 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Prachuap.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.40 for Prachuap.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
BG Pathum United 1-0 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 45%, draw 28%, Prachuap 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.