BUL vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BUL v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
BUL vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Uganda Police
UGA
BUL 1-3 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police beat BUL 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was BUL at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BUL had 46% of the ball to Uganda Police's 54%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BUL and 0.33 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of BUL vs Uganda Police?
BUL 1-3 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BUL vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BUL 43%, draw 28%, Uganda Police 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.