UPDF 0-0 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Dec 2025

UPDF
0-0 HT 0-0
NEC
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Draw
30%
+6.0pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 48%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.52/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.69
-43% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-2D-1L
AWAY NEC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 UPDF UPDF 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGA
24.09.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
13.02.2024 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 1-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
0-0
AWAY NEC
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UPDF vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF and NEC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (27% / 35% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UPDF had 45% of the ball to NEC's 55%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UPDF and 1.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of UPDF vs NEC?

UPDF 0-0 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UPDF 27%, draw 35%, NEC 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NEC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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