UPDF 0-0 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

UPDF
0-0 HT 0-0
NEC
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
27%
-6.5pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.76/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY NEC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
13.02.2024 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 1-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
0-0
AWAY NEC
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UPDF vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF and NEC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was NEC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UPDF had 46% of the ball to NEC's 54%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UPDF and 1.50 for NEC.

What was the final score of UPDF vs NEC?

UPDF 0-0 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UPDF 20%, draw 36%, NEC 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NEC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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