Mbarara City vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v URA — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
URA
UGA
2-0
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Mbarara City 0-2 URA — Actual Match Statistics
URA got the better of Mbarara City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Mbarara City had 58% of the ball to URA's 42%, shots finished 16-11.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mbarara City and 0.75 for URA.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs URA?
Mbarara City 0-2 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 27%, draw 32%, URA 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.