BUL 1-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

BUL
1-0 HT 1-0
SC Villa
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.51/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.14
+26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-0D-2L
AWAY SC Villa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
15.03.2024 BUL BUL 0-1 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-0
AWAY SC Villa
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL edged past SC Villa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 42% of the ball to SC Villa's 58%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BUL and 1.50 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of BUL vs SC Villa?

BUL 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BUL 52%, draw 22%, SC Villa 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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