Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.8pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.46/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/2.11
-29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
452 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
41.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.2 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
4.89 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 Passes 247
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-5 HT 0-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-2
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.44 xG 0.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
450 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 61% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 39%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.44 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 64%, draw 20%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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