Kızılyıldız 3-2 Akritas Chlorakas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kızılyıldız win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Akritas Chlorakas The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Akritas Chlorakas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Akritas Chlorakas 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Akritas Chlorakas?

Kızılyıldız 3-2 Akritas Chlorakas in the Friendlies on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Akritas Chlorakas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 58%, draw 24%, Akritas Chlorakas 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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