Cartagena 0-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.56
Over
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No Pick
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.31
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
23%
4.88
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
8.44
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
17.5
X/1
6%
9.24
X/2
14%
3.95
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.33
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo The Market 57%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
282 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
22.04.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
13.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
17.02.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
02.10.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
03.04.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.90 xG 1.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
257 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Cartagena 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cartagena had 40% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 60%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.90 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cartagena and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Real Oviedo?

Cartagena 0-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 24%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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