Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.08
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
27%
2.92
6+
13%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.9
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
20%
6.31
X/2
11%
5.79
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.4
2/X
6%
11.9
Value flag · X/1 at 6.31 — our 20% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
35%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund The Market 42%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.66/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.72
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.7 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.50 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
321 Passes 506
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
17.03.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.10.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 HT 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
22.04.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
08.01.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.70 xG 0.80
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
264 Passes 632
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt saw off Borussia Dortmund 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 32% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 68%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.70 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.83 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 44%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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