Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

Borussia Dortmund
2-0 HT 0-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.27
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
16%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
6%
9.22
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.2
2/2
11%
6.07
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
2.23/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.63
+57% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.0 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
482 Passes 328
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.10.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 HT 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
22.04.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
08.01.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
14.08.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-2 HT 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
2-0
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.73 xG 1.37
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
646 Passes 244
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund saw off Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 70% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 30%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.73 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.50 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 56%, draw 22%, Eintracht Frankfurt 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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