RB Leipzig 1-0 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.07
2-3 Goals
35%
2.2
4-5 Goals
31%
2.45
6+ Goals
16%
4.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.45
X/1
23%
3.62
X/2
5%
23.15
X/X
8%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.05
2/2
6%
15.65
2/X
5%
23.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 15% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.20/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.72
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
516 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.0 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bochum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.40 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
464 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-4 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
07.10.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.03.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
01.10.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.02.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
02.10.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
1-0
AWAY Bochum
1.34 xG 0.97
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
412 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig squeezed past Bochum 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 63% of the ball to Bochum's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.33 for Bochum.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Bochum?

RB Leipzig 1-0 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 64%, draw 19%, Bochum 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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