Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Mainz 05
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
3-1
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-2
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 and Union Berlin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 54% of the ball to Union Berlin's 46%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.17 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 2.00 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 42%, draw 29%, Union Berlin 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mainz 05), BTTS No went the other way.