Gent 1-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over Pick
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.24
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.41
6+
9%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
13%
6.65
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.8
2/X
8%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 5% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi The Market 33%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.54/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.47
+21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.7 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
17.03.2024 Gent Gent 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
05.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
19.01.2023 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
04.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
21.05.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.54 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
497 Passes 291
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gent had 60% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 40%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.54 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gent and 1.00 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Gent vs Sporting Charleroi?

Gent 1-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gent 41%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5
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