Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jamshedpur v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals
Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
ATK Mohun Bagan
HİNSL
3-0
HT 2-0
ATK Mohun Bagan
HINSK
0-0
HT 0-0
ATK Mohun Bagan
HİNSL
1-0
HT 0-0
Jamshedpur
HİNSL
Jamshedpur 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics
Jamshedpur and ATK Mohun Bagan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was ATK Mohun Bagan at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Jamshedpur had 44% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 56%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.31 to 1.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.67 for ATK Mohun Bagan.
What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Jamshedpur 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 24%, draw 21%, ATK Mohun Bagan 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.