ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.82
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.46/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.42
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.3 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.11.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.04.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-0 HT 2-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HINSK
09.02.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
08.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
07.03.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-0
AWAY Jamshedpur
2.20 xG 0.30
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
393 Passes 177
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan swept aside Jamshedpur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 64% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 36%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.20 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.00 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 56%, draw 20%, Jamshedpur 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
23 Nov 2024
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