Punjab FC 1-2 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No OUR CALL
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.96
2-3 Goals
34%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
14%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.69/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.20
+0% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.9 Crosses 13.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY NorthEast United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.29 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
300 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-1 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
06.10.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
1-2
AWAY NorthEast United
1.54 xG 1.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 183
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United squeezed past Punjab FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day NorthEast United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 63% of the ball to NorthEast United's 37%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.54 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Punjab FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Punjab FC and 0.50 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs NorthEast United?

Punjab FC 1-2 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 40%, draw 22%, NorthEast United 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HİNSL More India - Super League
23 Nov 2024
17:00 ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur Analysis →