Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Jan 2025

Correcaminos UAT
1-1 HT 1-1
Tlaxcala
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.47/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.53
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tlaxcala
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Tlaxcala 3-2 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.03.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
02.11.2023 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
22.04.2023 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
24.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
25.03.2022 Tlaxcala 4-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.67 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 39%, draw 31%, Tlaxcala 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ BTTS Yes
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