Chaves 3-0 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.58
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
281 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 2-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
13.07.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu HAZ
05.02.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-2 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
26.08.2021 Chaves Chaves 3-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
18.04.2021 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
19.12.2020 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
3-0
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.66 xG 0.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
274 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves ran out comfortable winners over Academico Viseu 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chaves had 48% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 52%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chaves and 1.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Academico Viseu?

Chaves 3-0 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chaves 42%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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