Benfica II 4-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -23%
1.45/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.96 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.02.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
03.09.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.02.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.09.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
20.03.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-3 HT 0-2 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
4-0
AWAY Leixoes
1.11 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
375 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II swept aside Leixoes 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica II had 57% of the ball to Leixoes's 43%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.11 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica II and 1.50 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Benfica II 4-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 41%, draw 29%, Leixoes 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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