Leixoes 2-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.52
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses 17.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
03.09.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.02.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.09.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
20.03.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-3 HT 0-2 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
30.10.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-1
AWAY Benfica II
1.63 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
289 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes nicked a narrow win over Benfica II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Leixoes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 54% of the ball to Benfica II's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.63 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leixoes and 1.50 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Benfica II?

Leixoes 2-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 35%, draw 30%, Benfica II 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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