Academico Viseu 2-1 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.10/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-29% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chaves
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu HAZ
05.02.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-2 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
26.08.2021 Chaves Chaves 3-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
18.04.2021 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
19.12.2020 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR2
19.01.2020 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
2-1
AWAY Chaves
0.84 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
209 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu edged past Chaves 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Academico Viseu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 43% of the ball to Chaves's 57%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.84 to 1.67 — on chances, Chaves could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.50 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Chaves?

Academico Viseu 2-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 38%, draw 28%, Chaves 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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