Maritimo vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
1-3
HT 1-1
Tondela
POR
4-2
HT 3-0
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 2-1
Tondela
POR
Maritimo 2-2 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo and Tondela shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maritimo had 61% of the ball to Tondela's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maritimo and 2.00 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Tondela?
Maritimo 2-2 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 44%, draw 32%, Tondela 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.