FCSB 1-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.16/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.41
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.4 Crosses 21.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.01
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
518 Passes 222
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
16.12.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 2-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
21.09.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
22.01.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
28.08.2022 FCSB FCSB 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
14.02.2021 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
2.27 xG 0.38
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
572 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
64 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB and Hermannstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FCSB at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FCSB had 69% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 31%, shots finished 25-1, expected goals 2.27 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FCSB and 1.17 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Hermannstadt?

FCSB 1-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FCSB 56%, draw 22%, Hermannstadt 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Over 2.5
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