Unirea Slobozia 3-2 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unirea Slobozia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 43%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.34
-54% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unirea Slobozia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sepsi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.44 xG 0.74
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
150 Passes 406
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unirea Slobozia
3-2
AWAY Sepsi
1.49 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
263 Passes 281
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 49
16 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Unirea Slobozia vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unirea Slobozia edged past Sepsi 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Unirea Slobozia had 48% of the ball to Sepsi's 52%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.49 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Unirea Slobozia vs Sepsi?

Unirea Slobozia 3-2 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unirea Slobozia vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Unirea Slobozia 34%, draw 26%, Sepsi 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
17 Jan 2025
21:00 FCSB vs Hermannstadt Analysis →