Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.1
Over
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.59
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.0
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.03
6+
14%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.62
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
19%
4.86
X/2
11%
7.87
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
11%
22.25
2/2
11%
5.51
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Dynamo Dresden The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth The Market 30%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.18 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.21
1.32 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.62
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.6 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-2 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
09.06.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
18.10.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-0 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
04.04.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
30.09.2018 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
11.02.2018 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.36 xG 0.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
358 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dynamo Dresden had too much for Greuther Fürth 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Dynamo Dresden had 51% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.33 for Greuther Fürth.

Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth Result & Final Score

Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 47%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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