Nürnberg 3-2 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.69
No
43%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.27
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.49
6+
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.75
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.72
X/2
8%
5.83
X/X
16%
4.7
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.87
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Nürnberg The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg The Market 39%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.48
1.20 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.36
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.9 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Elversberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Elversberg Elversberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
04.05.2025 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-3 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
06.12.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
11.05.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
10.12.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.10.2010 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-2
AWAY Elversberg
3.23 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
27 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
318 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Nürnberg vs Elversberg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nürnberg shaded a tight game against Elversberg 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 27% / 35%); Nürnberg picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Nürnberg had 51% of the ball to Elversberg's 49%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 3.23 to 2.29.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nürnberg and 1.00 for Elversberg.

Nürnberg vs Elversberg Result & Final Score

Nürnberg 3-2 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nürnberg vs Elversberg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 38%, draw 27%, Elversberg 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026
15:00 Preussen Münster vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →
15:00 Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth Analysis →
22:30 Hertha Berlin vs Schalke 04 Analysis →