RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 KAA Gent II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.18
Over Pick
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.07
2-3
36%
1.84
4-5
31%
2.9
6+
13%
8.71
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.40/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.40
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.2 Crosses 10.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KAA Gent II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.72 xG 0.82
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 396
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 KAA Gent II KAA Gent II 0-1 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSC Anderlecht II
1-2
AWAY KAA Gent II
1.41 xG 3.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
280 Passes 522
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RSC Anderlecht II vs KAA Gent II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAA Gent II edged past RSC Anderlecht II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day KAA Gent II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, RSC Anderlecht II had 37% of the ball to KAA Gent II's 63%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.41 to 3.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KAA Gent II's control.

What was the final score of RSC Anderlecht II vs KAA Gent II?

RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 KAA Gent II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSC Anderlecht II vs KAA Gent II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSC Anderlecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RSC Anderlecht II 38%, draw 24%, KAA Gent II 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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