AS Eupen 1-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.45
Away Pick
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.86
Over
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.17
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
27%
3.45
6+
9%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Waasland-Beveren win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 56%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.15
-87% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
6.0 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
375 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
04.04.2025 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
23.08.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.02.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
07.11.2020 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
25.01.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
1-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.84 xG 2.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
329 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over AS Eupen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 52% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 48%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.84 to 2.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AS Eupen and 1.33 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Waasland-Beveren?

AS Eupen 1-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 22%, draw 24%, Waasland-Beveren 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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