Waasland-Beveren 1-1 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.31
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.32
6+
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.31 — our 24% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Waasland-Beveren win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.54/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.89
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.1 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
23.08.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.02.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
07.11.2020 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
25.01.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
10.08.2019 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-1
AWAY AS Eupen
1.73 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
369 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren and AS Eupen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Waasland-Beveren at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 49% of the ball to AS Eupen's 51%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 0.83 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen?

Waasland-Beveren 1-1 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 57%, draw 26%, AS Eupen 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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