Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boussu Dour Borinage v RFC Liege — Team-Based Signals
Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
Boussu Dour Borinage 2-0 RFC Liege — Actual Match Statistics
Boussu Dour Borinage got the better of RFC Liege 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Boussu Dour Borinage found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 35% of the ball to RFC Liege's 65%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.95 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 1.25 for RFC Liege.
What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?
Boussu Dour Borinage 2-0 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 38%, draw 29%, RFC Liege 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.