RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RFC Liege v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals
RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
RFC Liege 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics
RFC Liege beat Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, RFC Liege had 49% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 51%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.22 to 1.99 — on chances, Boussu Dour Borinage could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RFC Liege and 1.20 for Boussu Dour Borinage.
What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
RFC Liege 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 48%, draw 24%, Boussu Dour Borinage 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.